Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.855382 3.294368 3.779222 4.354633 5.019195 5.763005 6.659267
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.268269 2.842411 3.530909 4.418124 5.532523 6.887892 8.664747
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.828185 2.461964 3.278495 4.409283 5.938077 7.938237 10.762667
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.451521 2.084436 2.953794 4.237966 6.092603 8.683569 12.595722
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.165936 1.774115 2.659159 4.045003 6.169732 9.319931 14.375131
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.008990 1.619133 2.555425 4.102405 6.608594 10.534215 17.199166
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.850862 1.433382 2.371746 4.000394 6.775823 11.348343 19.525505
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.784737 1.383720 2.393628 4.229608 7.511197 13.181518 23.832499
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.713600 1.312819 2.366905 4.367776 8.106807 14.861632 28.146640
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.634669 1.214702 2.276207 4.374116 8.461035 16.158502 31.964440
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.539344 1.070879 2.080054 4.150869 8.344482 16.555935 34.110424
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.505269 1.039710 2.091357 4.329771 9.037508 18.612235 39.903734
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.478120 1.020740 2.128595 4.577470 9.933161 21.261919 47.503806
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.439601 0.972224 2.098831 4.681241 10.545327 23.427302 54.465259
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.398139 0.910827 2.032686 4.695461 10.964518 25.246138 60.986924
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.348417 0.823066 1.895672 4.527309 10.939684 26.062346 65.301776
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.303725 0.739816 1.756071 4.329748 10.810683 26.610585 69.055273
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.281376 0.706492 1.727812 4.396922 11.341326 28.838359 77.493635
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.251661 0.650338 1.636249 4.290985 11.415994 29.940354 83.176639
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.243822 0.648622 1.679285 4.539483 12.460630 33.718457 96.880123
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.231475 0.633157 1.684911 4.689487 13.265523 36.994500 109.800106
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.213866 0.600758 1.641256 4.697288 13.676086 39.257277 120.203130
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.188101 0.541772 1.517176 4.457888 13.336636 39.341025 124.057434